Campus Spotlight: California University of Pennsylvania

By Jaron Castranio, Senior Political Science major, California University of Pennsylvania

Alan Abramowitz, one of the country’s leading elections forecasters, recently returned to California University of Pennsylvania to discuss “Will the Democrats Catch a Wave? The Outlook for the 2018 Midterm Elections.” His presentation focused on whether Democrats would be able to regain control of the House.

Abramowitz pointed to election surges and declines, reminding everyone that it is not unusual for the president’s party to lose seats in midterm elections. His predictions for the upcoming election were based on the premise that there are more seats for Republicans to lose than there are for Democrats; however, he mentioned that the number of turnovers also depends on the president’s approval rating. Trump’s low numbers may cause a greater than usual shift in power. According to Abramowitz, there is better than a 50 percent chance that Democrats will win back the House.

Learn more about the event here: https://www.calu.edu/news/2018/abramowitz%20to%20discuss%20midterm%20elections.aspx